Ex-OpenAI AGI Readiness Director predicts AI will handle most computer-based work more efficiently and cost-effectively by 2027

The former director shared some crucial points regarding this forecast:

"Crucial points - this will occur before 2027 in some fields, and possibly by the end of 2027 in all fields. Also, ‘more efficiently’ refers to ‘when results are assessed separately,’ therefore not considering the inherent importance individuals assign to tasks done by specific people.

However, this conveys the main idea well, I think.

‘Will be handled’ here indicates ‘will be possible to achieve,’ but not that it will necessarily be widely implemented everywhere. I was trying to be witty by using words like computer and handled, but perhaps I went too far."

What are your thoughts on this timeline? Do you believe it’s realistic for AI to take over most computer-related jobs in the next few years? I’m interested in how this could impact various sectors and if the shift will be as seamless as anticipated.

Having worked in enterprise software implementation for over a decade, I think this timeline is overly optimistic from a practical standpoint. The technical capability might exist by 2027, but the reality is that most organizations move incredibly slowly when it comes to adopting new technologies. We’re still seeing companies struggle to properly implement basic automation tools that have been available for years. The gap between what’s technically possible and what gets actually deployed in real business environments is enormous. Additionally, regulatory frameworks, liability issues, and the sheer inertia of existing systems will create significant friction. While AI will certainly become more prevalent, the idea that it will handle most computer-based work by 2027 underestimates how long it takes for transformative technologies to actually transform entire industries at scale.

I’m more concerned about the definition of “more efficiently” here. The former director’s clarification about results being assessed separately is telling - it suggests AI might produce technically adequate outputs while missing critical context that human workers naturally understand. From my experience in data analysis, I’ve seen automation tools that technically complete tasks faster but require extensive human oversight to catch errors or nuanced issues. The prediction also seems to ignore the trust factor entirely. Even if AI can handle the technical aspects of computer-based work, many clients and stakeholders still prefer human accountability, especially for sensitive or high-stakes decisions. The capability existing and organizations actually trusting AI with important work are two very different things. I suspect we’ll see AI as a powerful assistant by 2027, but the idea of it handling most work autonomously feels premature.

honestly think we’re gonna see a bifurcated rollout here. startups and tech-forward companies will probly push AI adoption way faster than the 2027 timeline, while legacy industries drag their feet for years. my buddys already using AI for most of his coding tasks and its pretty solid, but good luck getting banks or healthcare systems to move that quick lol